Welcome
Hey there! This is a webpage representing Niklas Lehmann on the biggest machine ever created by humankind: The internet.
I currently spend my time researching questions such as:
– How can we better understand and forecast progress in Artificial Intelligence?
– Where should Prediction Markets be used to elicit information? Why are prediction markets so rarely used in forecasting practice?
– How can humanity steer best toward coordination over conflict?
– How can mathematical theorems and methods be applied to open questions in economics and other sciences?
– Why is there emergence? Why is there Macro- and Microeconomics instead of one united theory?
– Are people gaining awareness of existential risk? How will people behave if existential risk becomes a mainstream ethical concern such as with climate change?
RECOMMENDED READING
What to make and do in the 4th dimension – Matt Parker
Life 3.0 – Max Tegmark
How to Invent Everything – Ryan North
How not to be wrong – Jordan Ellenberg
Algorithms to live by – Brian Christian & Tom Griffiths
Der Herr aller Dinge – Andreas Eschbach
Inadequate Equilibria – Eliezer Yudkowsky
Harry Potter – J.K. Rowling
Mastering ‘Metrics – Josh Angrist & Jörn-Steffen Pischke
Causal inference in statistics – Judea Pearl et. al.
The Precipice – Toby Ord
The elephant in the brain – Kevin Simler & Robin Hanson
Red Mars – Kim Stanley Robinson
Understanding How We Learn – Yana Weinstein, Megan Sumeracki & Oliver Caviglio
Deep Work – Cal Newport
Weapons of Math Destruction – Cathy O´Neil
Micromotives and Macrobehavior – Thomas Schelling
Environment and Statecraft – Scott Barrett
An Economist gets lunch – Tyler Cowen
How to measure anything – Doug Hubbard
Read all my book reviews here.