Hey there! This is a webpage representing Niklas Lehmann on the biggest machine ever created by humankind: The internet. 


I currently spend my time researching questions such as: 

– How can we quantify expert judgment, even if we may never be able to verify their estimate?

– Can prediction markets be used to elicit beliefs, even if they are never resolved?

– Can interstate smart contracts that operate on a popular blockchain be used to settle disputes and further cooperation?

– Are predictions on continuous questions (e.g. when will fusion energy be commercially available) fundamentally skewed?

– Are people gaining awareness of existential risk? How will people behave if existential risk becomes a mainstream concern such as with climate change?


What to make and do in the 4th dimension – Matt Parker

Life 3.0 – Max Tegmark

How not to be wrong – Jordan Ellenberg

Algorithms to live by – Brian Christian & Tom Griffiths

Der Herr aller Dinge – Andreas Eschbach

Harry Potter – J.K. Rowling

Mastering ‘Metrics – Josh Angrist & Jörn-Steffen Pischke

Causal inference in statistics – Judea Pearl et. al.

The Precipice – Toby Ord

The elephant in the brain – Kevin Simler & Robin Hanson

Red Mars – Kim Stanley Robinson 

Understanding How We Learn – Yana Weinstein, Megan Sumeracki & Oliver Caviglio 

Micromotives and Macrobehavior – Thomas Schelling

Environment and Statecraft – Scott Barrett

An Economist gets lunch – Tyler Cowen 

How to measure anything – Doug Hubbard

Read all my book reviews here.

Read all my movie reviews here.