Welcome
Hey there! This is a webpage representing Niklas Lehmann on the biggest machine ever created by humankind: The internet.
I currently spend my time researching questions such as:
– How can we quantify expert judgment, even if we may never be able to verify their estimate?
– Can prediction markets be used to elicit beliefs, even if they are never resolved?
– Can interstate smart contracts that operate on a popular blockchain be used to settle disputes and further cooperation?
– Are predictions on continuous questions (e.g. when will fusion energy be commercially available) fundamentally skewed?
– Are people gaining awareness of existential risk? How will people behave if existential risk becomes a mainstream concern such as with climate change?
SOME OF MY FAVORITE BOOKS ARE
What to make and do in the 4th dimension – Matt Parker
Life 3.0 – Max Tegmark
How not to be wrong – Jordan Ellenberg
Algorithms to live by – Brian Christian & Tom Griffiths
Der Herr aller Dinge – Andreas Eschbach
Harry Potter – J.K. Rowling
Mastering ‘Metrics – Josh Angrist & Jörn-Steffen Pischke
Causal inference in statistics – Judea Pearl et. al.
The Precipice – Toby Ord
The elephant in the brain – Kevin Simler & Robin Hanson
Red Mars – Kim Stanley Robinson
Understanding How We Learn – Yana Weinstein, Megan Sumeracki & Oliver Caviglio
Micromotives and Macrobehavior – Thomas Schelling
Environment and Statecraft – Scott Barrett
An Economist gets lunch – Tyler Cowen
How to measure anything – Doug Hubbard
Read all my book reviews here.
Read all my movie reviews here.